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Just to let you all know, James is working on creating a matrix of plots so that we can evaluate the methods that I showed last wednesday. We are exploring the effects of parameter variation, etc. Expect to have some interesting results soon.

In addition, Jordan is also making progress on the data scoring. He has now been able to show that, prior to a given simulated 1857 type earthquake, if for two such events the last ~1000 years is similar, then the next ~200 years will be similar as well. As Andy Michael has pointed out in an email exchange, this property of the simulation is necessary if we are to achieve anything with the data scoring idea.